Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233

234-237

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Louisiana

Texas

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?

5

4

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win

Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Lisa Demuth and Michele Tafoya win

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Angie Nixon win

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia

Ohio

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12

11

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

9

10

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

At least 28

At least 31

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Republicans sweep

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48

47

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5

6

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor

Midterms: Blue trickle?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia?

5

6

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